About Us
Subseasonal or extended-range forecasts at 2-4 weeks lead time are very crucial for early planning and mitigation of adverse weather impacts in various sectors such as agriculture, water, energy, health, finance, and urban planning, etc. Extended-range forecasts enable risk management through crucial advance information, such as whether rainfall will support farming, if a dam’s water can be released safely, if heat or cold waves will stress health systems and power grids, and if oceanic low-pressure systems could escalate into devastating cyclones. Though forecasting at this time scale remains scientifically challenging, IITM Pune has made remarkable progress.
Under the National Monsoon Mission (NMM) Project (Rao et al., 2019) of the Ministry of Earth Sciences (MoES), the Extended Range Prediction Group at IITM has been developing ensemble prediction systems since 2011 for subseasonal outlooks for societal benefits.